Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: China's photovoltaic industry has strong momentum in 2017. Opportunities and challenges coexist in the industry.

I. Overall Operation In 2017, affected by the accelerated expansion of the domestic PV distributed market and the rapid rise of foreign emerging markets, China's PV industry continued to develop healthily, the industry scale grew steadily, the technical level improved significantly, production costs decreased significantly, and corporate benefits Continue to improve and maintain stable foreign trade. (1) The scale of the industry has grown steadily. In 2017, China's polysilicon production was 242,000 tons, up 24.7% year-on-year; wafer production was 87GW, up 34.3% year-on-year; battery production was 68GW, up 33.3% year-on-year; module output was 76GW, up 31.7% year-on-year. The production scale of all links in the industrial chain accounts for more than 50% of the global total, and continues to be the world's first. (2) The technical level is constantly improving. P-type single crystal and polycrystalline battery technology continued to improve. The average conversion efficiency of conventional production lines reached 20.5% and 18.8%, respectively. The advanced production lines using passivated emitter back contact technology (PERC) and black silicon technology reached 21.3% and 19.2%. The polysilicon production process is further optimized, and the average integrated power consumption of the industry has dropped below 70 KWh/kg. (3) Production costs have dropped significantly. Under the joint promotion of technological advancement, production automation and intelligent transformation, the production cost of polysilicon in China's leading enterprises has dropped to 60,000 yuan/ton, the production cost of components has dropped below 2 yuan/watt, and the investment cost of photovoltaic power generation system has dropped to 5 yuan/ Around the tile, the cost of electricity is reduced to 0.5-0.7 yuan / kWh. (4) The company's efficiency continues to improve. Benefiting from the expansion of the market scale, the company's shipments have increased significantly. At the same time, due to the technological process progress, the production cost has decreased. The profitability of China's PV companies has improved significantly. The upstream silicon materials, silicon wafers, raw and auxiliary materials, and downstream inverters and power stations have been improved. The gross profit margins of the other links reached 45.8%, 37.34%, 21.8%, 33.54% and 50% respectively. (5) Foreign trade remained stable. From January to November 2017, China's PV products exports totaled US$13.11 billion, up 1.4% year-on-year; polysilicon imports were 144,000 tons, up 17.3% year-on-year. Affected by the continued expansion of the global PV market, China's PV product exports have grown rapidly, but the export prices of products have continued to decline. The growth rate of emerging markets such as Mexico, Brazil and India has increased, with exports to India ranking first. Second, the situation and difficulties faced (1) sustained release of production capacity, increased pressure on market supply and demand. From the supply side point of view, the new and technological transformation capacity of each link will be gradually released in 2018. From the demand side, the growth rate of new domestic and international new markets will slow down. This will lead to an imbalance between supply and demand in China's PV market in 2018, and the prices of products in the upstream and downstream sectors will be further explored, and enterprises will be under greater pressure. (2) The product structure is single and the industrial technology innovation is weak. China's photovoltaic products are mainly crystalline silicon cells, and they are mainly concentrated in the conventional battery. The product structure is relatively simple. There is still a gap between high-efficiency batteries and product reliability such as heterojunction (SHJ), and basic research needs to be improved. . In addition, China still has shortcomings in photovoltaic high-end battery technology, equipment and materials. The key equipment required for black silicon, PERC, N-type technology and so on still depend on imports, and the integration capability of intelligent factory systems still needs to be improved. (3) The power supply is strictly limited, and the contradiction between supply and demand in the east and the west is prominent. The coordinated consumption market in the east, central and western regions has not been formed. There are barriers to inter-provincial transactions. The construction of transmission channels lags behind the development of new energy such as photovoltaics. In addition, the existing power grids have insufficient peaking capacity and flexibility, and the local northwestern local capacity for consumption is limited. The northwest region has severely abandoned light and electricity, and the supply and demand in the east and west are uneven. (4) The arrears of photovoltaic subsidies affect the normal operation of the industrial chain. The rapid expansion of the PV market and the lack of additional renewable energy, the subsidy funding gap is obvious, most photovoltaic power generation projects are difficult to obtain subsidies in a timely manner, increasing the cost of capital for the entire industry chain, especially for PV companies with private enterprises and single business, financing capacity Weak, market volatility is likely to lead to rapid accumulation of industry risks. (5) Due to the impact of trade protection, the prospect of “going out” of photovoltaics is not optimistic. In recent years, China's photovoltaic industry has developed rapidly, making it a major product of trade protection in some countries. The new round of trade surveys is more concerned about Chinese companies. Trade frictions are frequent, hindering the pace of China's photovoltaic “going out”, leading to a rapid rise in global PV application costs, which is not conducive to promoting global PV applications. III. Key Work With the global energy shortage and environmental pollution problems, the photovoltaic industry has become an emerging industry with widespread concern and focus on development. In order to further standardize the development of China's photovoltaic industry, promote industrial transformation and upgrading, and promote China's photovoltaic industry to move towards the high-end of the global value chain, the next step is to focus on the following work: First, release the smart PV industry action plan. In-depth implementation of "Made in China 2025", issued "Smart Photovoltaic Industry Development Action Plan (2018-2020)." Promote the intelligent upgrade of the photovoltaic industry, encourage the application of information technology such as big data and NB-IOT in the field of photovoltaics; promote the deep integration of the Internet, big data, artificial intelligence and photovoltaic industry. Explore and promote the application of demonstration construction in the fields of construction, water conservancy, agriculture, and poverty alleviation. Jointly promote the development of smart photovoltaic industry and actively cultivate world-class advanced manufacturing clusters. The second is to strengthen industry normative management. Continue to implement the "Regulations on Photovoltaic Manufacturing Industry", organize relevant declaration work, conduct random inspections of enterprises that have entered the normative conditions, continue to dynamically adjust the list of regulatory conditions, promote the coordination of industry norms and related policies, and effectively regulate the order of industry development. The third is to improve the construction of public service platforms. Facing the needs of industrial development, improve the construction of public service platforms such as standards and testing, and play a platform role to provide data support for the development of the industry. Instruct relevant units to implement projects such as industrial strong foundation projects. Accelerate the implementation of the "Solar Photovoltaic Industry Integrated Standardization Technical System" and enhance the industrial supporting capacity. The fourth is to adhere to the combination of “bringing in” and “going out”. Implement the “Belt and Road Initiative” initiative, plan the overall industrial chain layout, enhance our ability to lead global flows of goods, capital, information, etc., and make good use of both domestic and international markets and resources to highlight technology, brand and market, and deepen and integrate more. The global supply system encourages enterprises to establish overseas factories and expand overseas business in a timely and appropriate manner, and cooperate with relevant departments to handle trade disputes.

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