——Interview with Wu Bolin, Director General of China Machine Tool Industry Association
From the end of 2008 to the present, it is a frequent period of China's policy. The use of various economic instruments, including the 4 trillion yuan policy of stimulating domestic demand, aims to maintain stable growth and promote structural adjustment. As the development of the machine tool industry in the equipment manufacturing industry, especially the CNC machine tool industry, the state has also given full attention. The reporter recently interviewed Wu Bolin, the Director General of the China Machine Tool Industry Association, and asked him to introduce relevant state policy support and forecast the industry trends in 2009.
Current industry situation
In the past month, the association has organized special forces to conduct industry research in Dalian, Wuhan, Beijing and Tianjin. Through research, we found that the industry currently has the following characteristics.
First of all, the output value and sales still continue to develop at a relatively high speed. From January to October 2008, 4,694 companies in the machine tool industry completed a total industrial output value of 283.53 billion yuan, an increase of 31% over the same period. In October, the total industrial output value was 29.70 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.1% and a decrease of 7.0% from the previous month.
Second, the product structure has changed, and market demand adjustments continue to accelerate. From January to October 2008, the total output value of the metalworking machine tool industry increased by 25.6% over the same period, and the Taiwanese share increased by 1.6% over the same period. This shows that the structure of China's machine tool products is changing, and the product grade is improving.
Third, product inventories are still increasing, and production and sales rates continue to decline. From January to November 2008, the accumulated stocks of finished products of key association enterprises reached 8.6 billion yuan, an increase of 22.5%. The sales rate of industrial products was 95.5%, down 1.7% year-on-year. The reason for this phenomenon is that the adjustments made by the industry since the second half of 2008 are not in place and the strength is not enough. The status quo of some companies in the industry is the embodiment of this feature.
Fourth, most companies will contract down and orders will decrease next year. In the past seven years, machine tool companies have a more common phenomenon at the end of the year: 10% of companies have contracts for 1-2 years in the coming year, 30% have contracts for one year, and most companies have 7-10 contracts. Monthly contract. However, the current situation is not optimistic. The association's survey of 30 companies in the industry shows that orders for most machine tool companies have fallen by 30% to 50%. General enterprises only have contracts of 3 to 5 months in the coming year. The vast majority of enterprises have less than half a year's contracts. Only a few companies have contracts for the next year, such as Wuzhong, Qiyiji, Qijiji, and Beiyiji Heavy. Part, as well as Ningbo Haitian, Dalian Guangyang and so on.
From the perspective of product demand, the demand for small ordinary machine tools has been significantly reduced, and the demand for large and high-end products is still good, but the contract volume of both is decreasing. According to the incomplete statistics of key enterprises in January-November 2008, the situation is even more severe than that in January-October. In addition, the import and export volume of machine tools in China began to decline, reflecting the decline in domestic and international demand.
Opportunities and Challenges
Although the industry is currently facing more difficulties, compared with other countries in the world, China's machine tool industry still has many opportunities: such as the state's policy support for the machine tool industry, the strengthening of the country's strength, the state's investment strategy for the manufacturing industry, and Pay attention to the equipment manufacturing industry. In December 2008, the “High-end CNC Machine Tool and Basic Manufacturing Equipment Science and Technology Major Project†(hereinafter referred to as “major special projectâ€) was finally approved by the state, and is now preparing to launch the first batch of projects.
Second, through seven years of rapid development, the industry is now the same. If the financial crisis occurred in the early years, the consequences would be unimaginable. However, the industry's ability in terms of scale, structure, organization, management, and technology has been improved and enhanced, and its ability to resist risks has increased. If you can adjust this time, it will still be a development opportunity for the industry. From the current industry data, the output has not increased, but the output value has increased, indicating that the product structure is indeed adjusting, and that the company is actively responding. As long as companies can turn pressure into motivation, improve their confidence to tide over difficulties, and make structural adjustments, make full use of international and domestic resources, and integrate international and domestic production factors such as personnel, factories and technology, they can turn disadvantages into opportunities. . However, the current uncertainty is how long the financial crisis can last. Judging from the current situation, the crisis has been fierce and deep, and it has indeed impacted the Chinese economy.
Third, the future competition will be more intense, and more foreign companies will compete with us for the Chinese market. From the current situation, foreign companies occupy 85% of the market share of high-end machine tools in China, and they have already regarded China as a big market for sales. At that time, our domestic enterprises will not only face competition from the same industry in China, but also compete more fiercely with foreign advanced counterparts.
Fourth, the national key projects are increasingly demanding machine tool products, including comprehensive evaluation of the service level of the machine tool industry. The machine tool industry has to comply with this requirement of the customer industry, because the vitality of the customer industry means the vitality of the machine tool industry. Therefore, machine tool enterprises must recognize the situation, adjust the industry and product structure, turn pressure into motivation, improve the ability of independent innovation, and seize opportunities for corporate restructuring to promote the leap of innovation.
National policy support
The adoption of "Major Special Project" is a major benefit of the machine tool industry. The implementation of "Major Special Project" will effectively promote the structural adjustment of China's machine tool industry and greatly enhance our innovation capability.
In addition, the national policy for the machine tool industry is also reflected in the country's development of the "2009-2011 revitalization development plan", which will also involve some policy support in the machine tool industry.
As a machine tool enterprise, several things to be done at present include: First, we must accelerate the adjustment of enterprise products and industrial structure, and improve the independent innovation capability of technology and management. Secondly, improve internal strength, improve product quality, service and corporate management, and improve the quality of cadres. As far as we know, some machine tool factories now use the current situation of enterprise production reduction, send special personnel to visit customers across the country, strengthen customer service and understand customer needs. Third, actively create a good policy environment for enterprises. As an association that is issued by the association, we must do a good job of the government's assistants, promptly report the situation of the industry to the government, and offer advice and suggestions to the government. On the other hand, we must actively strive for a good external environment for the enterprise and promote sustainable industry. development of.
Enterprises must also prevent two tendencies: In the current situation, key enterprises with better development momentum should pay attention to extensively seeking and utilizing social and international resources in the process of seeking further development; general enterprises should enhance their confidence and strengthen their determination to tide over the difficulties. .
In general, the machine tool industry expects production values ​​in 2009 to be the same as in 2008. Not long ago, 95% of large companies in the industry survey had their production targets in 2009 equal to those in 2008.
From the end of 2008 to the present, it is a frequent period of China's policy. The use of various economic instruments, including the 4 trillion yuan policy of stimulating domestic demand, aims to maintain stable growth and promote structural adjustment. As the development of the machine tool industry in the equipment manufacturing industry, especially the CNC machine tool industry, the state has also given full attention. The reporter recently interviewed Wu Bolin, the Director General of the China Machine Tool Industry Association, and asked him to introduce relevant state policy support and forecast the industry trends in 2009.
Current industry situation
In the past month, the association has organized special forces to conduct industry research in Dalian, Wuhan, Beijing and Tianjin. Through research, we found that the industry currently has the following characteristics.
First of all, the output value and sales still continue to develop at a relatively high speed. From January to October 2008, 4,694 companies in the machine tool industry completed a total industrial output value of 283.53 billion yuan, an increase of 31% over the same period. In October, the total industrial output value was 29.70 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.1% and a decrease of 7.0% from the previous month.
Second, the product structure has changed, and market demand adjustments continue to accelerate. From January to October 2008, the total output value of the metalworking machine tool industry increased by 25.6% over the same period, and the Taiwanese share increased by 1.6% over the same period. This shows that the structure of China's machine tool products is changing, and the product grade is improving.
Third, product inventories are still increasing, and production and sales rates continue to decline. From January to November 2008, the accumulated stocks of finished products of key association enterprises reached 8.6 billion yuan, an increase of 22.5%. The sales rate of industrial products was 95.5%, down 1.7% year-on-year. The reason for this phenomenon is that the adjustments made by the industry since the second half of 2008 are not in place and the strength is not enough. The status quo of some companies in the industry is the embodiment of this feature.
Fourth, most companies will contract down and orders will decrease next year. In the past seven years, machine tool companies have a more common phenomenon at the end of the year: 10% of companies have contracts for 1-2 years in the coming year, 30% have contracts for one year, and most companies have 7-10 contracts. Monthly contract. However, the current situation is not optimistic. The association's survey of 30 companies in the industry shows that orders for most machine tool companies have fallen by 30% to 50%. General enterprises only have contracts of 3 to 5 months in the coming year. The vast majority of enterprises have less than half a year's contracts. Only a few companies have contracts for the next year, such as Wuzhong, Qiyiji, Qijiji, and Beiyiji Heavy. Part, as well as Ningbo Haitian, Dalian Guangyang and so on.
From the perspective of product demand, the demand for small ordinary machine tools has been significantly reduced, and the demand for large and high-end products is still good, but the contract volume of both is decreasing. According to the incomplete statistics of key enterprises in January-November 2008, the situation is even more severe than that in January-October. In addition, the import and export volume of machine tools in China began to decline, reflecting the decline in domestic and international demand.
Opportunities and Challenges
Although the industry is currently facing more difficulties, compared with other countries in the world, China's machine tool industry still has many opportunities: such as the state's policy support for the machine tool industry, the strengthening of the country's strength, the state's investment strategy for the manufacturing industry, and Pay attention to the equipment manufacturing industry. In December 2008, the “High-end CNC Machine Tool and Basic Manufacturing Equipment Science and Technology Major Project†(hereinafter referred to as “major special projectâ€) was finally approved by the state, and is now preparing to launch the first batch of projects.
Second, through seven years of rapid development, the industry is now the same. If the financial crisis occurred in the early years, the consequences would be unimaginable. However, the industry's ability in terms of scale, structure, organization, management, and technology has been improved and enhanced, and its ability to resist risks has increased. If you can adjust this time, it will still be a development opportunity for the industry. From the current industry data, the output has not increased, but the output value has increased, indicating that the product structure is indeed adjusting, and that the company is actively responding. As long as companies can turn pressure into motivation, improve their confidence to tide over difficulties, and make structural adjustments, make full use of international and domestic resources, and integrate international and domestic production factors such as personnel, factories and technology, they can turn disadvantages into opportunities. . However, the current uncertainty is how long the financial crisis can last. Judging from the current situation, the crisis has been fierce and deep, and it has indeed impacted the Chinese economy.
Third, the future competition will be more intense, and more foreign companies will compete with us for the Chinese market. From the current situation, foreign companies occupy 85% of the market share of high-end machine tools in China, and they have already regarded China as a big market for sales. At that time, our domestic enterprises will not only face competition from the same industry in China, but also compete more fiercely with foreign advanced counterparts.
Fourth, the national key projects are increasingly demanding machine tool products, including comprehensive evaluation of the service level of the machine tool industry. The machine tool industry has to comply with this requirement of the customer industry, because the vitality of the customer industry means the vitality of the machine tool industry. Therefore, machine tool enterprises must recognize the situation, adjust the industry and product structure, turn pressure into motivation, improve the ability of independent innovation, and seize opportunities for corporate restructuring to promote the leap of innovation.
National policy support
The adoption of "Major Special Project" is a major benefit of the machine tool industry. The implementation of "Major Special Project" will effectively promote the structural adjustment of China's machine tool industry and greatly enhance our innovation capability.
In addition, the national policy for the machine tool industry is also reflected in the country's development of the "2009-2011 revitalization development plan", which will also involve some policy support in the machine tool industry.
As a machine tool enterprise, several things to be done at present include: First, we must accelerate the adjustment of enterprise products and industrial structure, and improve the independent innovation capability of technology and management. Secondly, improve internal strength, improve product quality, service and corporate management, and improve the quality of cadres. As far as we know, some machine tool factories now use the current situation of enterprise production reduction, send special personnel to visit customers across the country, strengthen customer service and understand customer needs. Third, actively create a good policy environment for enterprises. As an association that is issued by the association, we must do a good job of the government's assistants, promptly report the situation of the industry to the government, and offer advice and suggestions to the government. On the other hand, we must actively strive for a good external environment for the enterprise and promote sustainable industry. development of.
Enterprises must also prevent two tendencies: In the current situation, key enterprises with better development momentum should pay attention to extensively seeking and utilizing social and international resources in the process of seeking further development; general enterprises should enhance their confidence and strengthen their determination to tide over the difficulties. .
In general, the machine tool industry expects production values ​​in 2009 to be the same as in 2008. Not long ago, 95% of large companies in the industry survey had their production targets in 2009 equal to those in 2008.
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