China's PV needs to re-arrange the overall strategy

China's PV needs to re-arrange the overall strategy

[Review] The United States decided to levy a "double tax against China's photovoltaic products." The EU launched a countervailing investigation, and the pressure for the consolidation and upgrading of China's photovoltaic industry has soared.

According to the Voice of Economy "YangGuang Finance Review," China's photovoltaic industry was yesterday (8th) with two "big sticks" from the United States and the European Union. The US International Trade Commission has made a final ruling that it will impose anti-dumping and countervailing duties on crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells and components imported from China. To make matters worse, the European Commission also issued an announcement on the same day to launch a countervailing investigation on photovoltaic cell products imported from China. China's photovoltaic industry has been hit hard.

The EU is currently the most important export market for Chinese PV companies, with shipments accounting for around 70% of China's PV companies. The move by the European Union involved 21 billion euros worth of PV products imported from China and created the world’s largest trade friction case.

Of course, China is not to be outdone. On November 1, the Ministry of Commerce announced a “double counter” investigation into the EU’s solar grade polysilicon material. On November 5, China proposed to cooperate with the European Union and its relevant member countries under the WTO dispute settlement mechanism on the PV subsidy measures of some EU member states, and formally initiated the WTO dispute settlement procedure.

Behind the photovoltaic trade war is the imbalance between supply and demand. The shrinking demand is due to the European debt crisis. Under the background of the global economic downturn, countries should be in the same boat, but the status quo is that international trade protectionism has risen. This is undoubtedly a huge blow to the photovoltaic industry in China, which is already in trouble and facing upgrading. Lin Boqiang, director of the Energy Economics Research Center at Xiamen University, made special comments on the economy and expressed his views on this topic.

Regarding the two big sticks of the United States and the European Union, many experts expressed even more concern about the EU’s anti-subsidy investigation because the European Union is currently the largest export market for photovoltaic products in China. The EU anticipates that the investigation will take 13 months. , and may impose temporary countervailing duties within 9 months. Lin Boqiang said that the dilemma faced by China's photovoltaic industry is actually a problem of imbalance between supply and demand.

Lin Boqiang: The EU accounts for a large proportion of China’s exports. The United States has set up an investigation team. The EU’s situation is not very optimistic. From this, it seems that China's solar photovoltaic industry is not the most difficult this year, but next year. If the investigation of the EU’s dual anti-countermeasures is to be established next year and temporary taxes are to be collected, China’s PV will basically lose its competitiveness in the international market. If this year's solar companies face large-scale losses, losses are expected to increase next year.

China's photovoltaic industry has faced a trade war and is facing tremendous pressure. It is related to the global economic downturn. However, troubled companies also have their own reasons. Lin Boqiang believes that this reflection is not only for photovoltaic companies, but also for the government.

Lin Boqiang: If there is any positive meaning in this round of double counters, first, it will guide the central and local governments to rethink the overall strategic issues of photovoltaic, solar energy development, and clean energy development in the future.

At present, the Chinese government has started to implement a rescue plan for the photovoltaic industry, and a series of favorable policies are being introduced. At present, the government is trying to rescue the market. What are the key areas that should be supported?

Lin Boqiang: The photovoltaic industry's macro industrial chain includes three points: R&D, storage, and terminal utilization. In general, R&D and terminals are basically not competitive at present, because R&D payback period is relatively long. The terminal must be supported by the government. This is inevitable. The equipment is basically competitive, it does not require government support, and in fact it does not require the government to pay attention and to intervene. The government must be in a good position. What can be done for a short time is the terminal. What the terminal can do now is that the government can quickly implement distributed photovoltaics, build solar power plants, solar buildings, etc., and publish corresponding supporting rules as soon as possible, so as to improve the difficult situation of solar photovoltaics next year.

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