Although the impact of the international financial crisis on China's machine tool industry is still spreading, with the implementation of the national economic stimulus plan, since March, domestic orders received by machine tool industry have begun to grow, and the economic downturn has slowed down. Inventory has decreased.
In the first quarter of 2009, the total output value of China's machine tool industry showed a 1-digit growth that had not been seen for many years. The total profit was a negative growth that had not been seen for many years. The import and export both fell, and the decline in exports was particularly serious. Obviously, the impact of the international financial crisis on the machine tool industry is still spreading. However, with the implementation of the national economic stimulus plan, since March, the domestic orders received by the machine tool industry have begun to grow, the industry economic slowdown has slowed down, and inventory has decreased.
In the first quarter, the sales rate of industrial products in China's machine tool industry reached 96.6%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year. At the same time, the product structure adjustment achieved further results. The survey shows that many companies have confidence in the market prospects, saying that they must seize opportunities, study market demand, strengthen product structure adjustment, and strive to develop new products, especially the development of high-end CNC machine tool products. As the country's various stimulus policies are implemented, it is expected that the situation in the second quarter will be better than the first quarter.
Industry economy slows down
In the first quarter of the machine tool industry, production, profits, and imports and exports continued to decline. The rate of decline in March slowed down, and there was a positive growth in March. Reasons for the slowdown in the decline In addition to the holiday factor, the state has played a role in the economic stimulus plan implemented by the international financial crisis.
According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to March, China's 5,769 machine tool industry enterprises completed a total industrial output value of 72.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.1%, an increase of 32 percentage points lower than the same period in 2008. Among them, 740 gold cutting machine tools completed a total industrial output value of 19.48 billion yuan, an increase of 1.4% year-on-year, an increase of 30 percentage points lower than the same period in 2008. In the first two months, the machine tool industry achieved a profit of 1.52 billion yuan, a decrease of 28.1% over the same period in 2008; the profit of the gold cutting machine industry decreased by 13.1% year-on-year.
In order to understand the specific situation of the company, China Machine Tool Industry Association has summarized the statistics of key contacts in nearly 200 industries. From January to March, the sales revenue, total profit, total industrial output value and product sales value of gold cutting, forming, electrical appliances, accessories, and cutting tools all experienced negative growth year-on-year.
From January to March, the situation of key contact enterprises is more serious than that reflected by the data of the National Bureau of Statistics. Taking the gold cutting machine tool industry as an example, the number of key enterprises reporting data is 114, and its total industrial output value is 11.73 billion yuan (accounting for 60.2% of the output value of 740 gold cutting machine tools of the National Bureau of Statistics of 19.48 billion yuan, more representative Sex). The total industrial output value of the 114 enterprises in the first quarter of this year decreased by 9.6% year-on-year; the output of Jinqie machine tools decreased by 38.6% year-on-year; the profit reached 380 million yuan, a negative growth of 48.0%.
Although the key industrial enterprises in the first quarter fell by 3.9% year-on-year, the year-on-year decline of -6.6% compared with January-February was slowed down. In March, the key enterprises in the month of the month completed the positive growth of industrial output value of 2.3% year-on-year, an increase of 33.2%.
In the first quarter, the output of key cutting companies, Jinchee machine tools and CNC cutting machine tools, continued to grow negatively. The output of Jinchee machine tools and CNC machine tools summarized from January to March was 45.56 million units and 123.43 million units, respectively, which were 38.6% and 23.5% lower than the same period of 2008, respectively, which was 1.9 percentage points lower than the year-on-year decline of January-February. And 1.2 percentage points. The output value of gold cutting machine tools and CNC gold cutting machine tools was 9.67 billion yuan and 6.34 billion yuan respectively, which was 4.5% lower and 9.7% higher than the same period of 2008.
The output of metal forming machine tools summarized from January to March was 8,737 units, of which 953 sets were produced by CNC metal forming machine tools, which were 34.7% and 20.1% lower than the same period in 2008 respectively; the output value of metal forming machine tools and CNC metal forming machine tools was 1.54 billion respectively. Yuan and 890 million yuan, respectively, decreased by 11.2% and 1.8% over the same period in 2008.
In the first quarter, the key enterprises reached a total profit of 623.13 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.5%, which was 15.1 percentage points lower than the year-on-year decline in January-February. In March, the profit reached 357.97 million yuan, a decrease of 19.8% compared with the same period in 2008. The decline rate has slowed down. In the first quarter, the key value of the key enterprises was 3.6%, which was 2.2 percentage points lower than the same period in 2008.
In the first quarter, the import and export of machine tool products showed a double decline, of which the decline in exports was particularly significant, and the decline rate slowed down in March. The specific situation is: machine tool exports of 1.05 billion US dollars, from the positive growth of 47.8% in the same period of 2008 to a negative growth of 31.2%. The export of metal processing machine tools was 340 million US dollars, down 26.3% year-on-year, which also turned from high-speed growth to sharp decline. The total import of machine tools was US$2.28 billion, down 16.2% year-on-year, of which metal processing machine tools imported US$1.52 billion, down 6.6% year-on-year.
The economic situation in the industry is still grim
The impact of the international financial crisis is still spreading. The scale of the domestic and international machine tool market is gradually shrinking, the export is falling sharply, the product structure of the industry is unreasonable, the profit is declining, and the economic situation of the industry is still grim.
1. The development speed of new products is slow, which lags behind the fast pace of the market. Under the influence of the decline in economic growth, the market demand for products is more demanding, and higher standards are put forward for product performance, service and price. As China's overall industrial level lags behind that of Western industrial countries and industry enterprises, the technical strength of the enterprises in the machine tool industry is particularly slow, and the speed of high-end products is lagging behind the rapid pace of the market.
2. The company's liquidity is highly tight, and it is very difficult to maintain normal production operations. Due to the inability of the original users to pick up the goods in time, not only the inventory increased, but also the production sites and funds of the enterprise, and the subsequent new orders were insufficient, resulting in high liquidity.
3. The structural adjustment speed is slow and the production capacity cannot be effectively utilized. The changes in market demand highlight the contradiction of product structure in the machine tool industry. On the one hand, domestic high-end new products can not meet the needs of domestic key users, on the other hand, the production capacity of traditional products is too large. This has been outstanding in ordinary machine tools and economical CNC machine tools, which has led to more brutal market competition, and companies are competing to kill prices, which has led to a further decline in profits that are not high.
4. The production operation has declined slightly at a low level, and the difficulties of enterprises have intensified. In the first quarter of 2009, the sales revenue of key contact enterprises decreased by 4.6% year-on-year, the total industrial output value decreased by 3.9%, the sales value of products decreased by 3.6%, and the total profit decreased by 39.5%. Nearly half of the companies lose money, and the business is very difficult to run.
5. The market scale has narrowed, and the policy of expanding domestic demand has driven demand in the high-end market. Although the overall market size is still shrinking, the government has launched an economic stimulus plan aimed at adjusting the product structure, and the pulling effect on the market has begun to appear. The market demand for high value-added machine tools and large heavy-duty machine tools has further increased. The increase in numerical control rate and the increase in machine unit price indicate that the market structure is developing to medium and high-end and heavy-duty machine tools.
Among the key enterprises, the numerical control rate of the metal processing machine tool industry in the first quarter was 52.9%, an increase of 8.3 percentage points over the same period in 2008. Among them, the numerical control rate of the output value of the gold cutting machine tool industry was 52.8%, an increase of 8.2 percentage points over the same period of 2008; the numerical control rate of the output value of the forming machine tool industry was 53.8%, an increase of 8.8 percentage points over the same period of 2008. The average unit price of CNC gold cutting machine tools was 478,000 yuan, compared with 334,000 yuan in the same period of 2008, an increase of 144,000 yuan.
Introduce measures to actively respond to the crisis
1. Track national key projects and open up new markets. It is hoped that the relevant government departments can introduce the implementation rules of the relevant adjustment and revitalization plan as soon as possible. At the same time, they can inform the technical transformation projects and capital flows of these industries, so that the machine tool industry can focus on tracking users and develop marketable products, thus opening up new markets.
2. Accelerate product structure adjustment and increase market and key user satisfaction. Enterprises should optimize production capacity through technological transformation, accelerate product structure adjustment, avoid low-level redundant construction and low-level expansion. It is necessary to improve the quality of products and key users through technological transformation and improvement of product quality.
3. Develop international markets and expand the export of high-end CNC machine tools. As the international market shrinks, companies must use their own advantages to expand the export of high-end CNC machine tools and parts, and open up new international markets with new products.
4. Strengthen the research of high-end CNC machine tools and solve the problem of replacement of imported products. When enterprises develop and replace imported high-end CNC machine tools and functional components, they hope that the relevant government departments will strictly control imported products. At the same time, it is necessary to encourage and support the application of domestic machine tools in military enterprises, and eliminate user prejudice against domestic machine tools.
5. Strengthen enterprise management and talent training, make full use of production capacity, accelerate capital turnover, and accelerate the construction of service teams for users and new markets.
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