The machine tool has always been known as the “working machineâ€. It provides equipment for all sectors of the national economy and is an important indicator of the level of machinery manufacturing in a country. In recent years, China’s “working machine†has maintained double-digit growth. Last year, the output value reached 26 billion yuan, and the output ranked fourth in the world. However, China's machine tool consumption exceeded 5.9 billion US dollars (about 48.8 billion yuan), ranking first in the "world first." The output value is 26 billion yuan, and the consumption exceeds 22 billion yuan. The difference is naturally only imported. According to customs statistics, last year China imported machine tool products, gold cutting machine tools and forging equipment, about 3.15 billion US dollars, is also a "world first"! Last year, the whole industry's exports were only 1/10--3.1 billion US dollars of imports. The status quo of China's machine tool industry can be summarized by the "three big ones and one small ones" - large consumer countries, large producing countries, large importing countries and small exporting countries. Look at "CNC" at the "master" level. In 1992, China had an annual output of more than 4,200 CNC machine tools. Last year, this figure has reached more than 24,800 units, an increase of 41.6% over the previous year. In the past 10 years, the output of CNC cutting machine tools in China has more than doubled, the development of CNC machine tools has accelerated, and a number of high-end controlled machine tools reflecting the development trend of CNC machine tools in the world have emerged, such as linear motor drive machining center and five-axis turning and milling compound center. , five-axis gantry machining center, etc. Luo Baihui, head of the International Association of Mould & Hardware Plastics Industry Suppliers, said that the overall quality of China's machine tool industry has improved significantly, but compared with developed countries, the numerical control rate of China's machine tools is still not high, and the current numerical value of production value is less than 30. %; the numerical value of consumption value is less than 50%, while the developed countries are mostly around 70%. In terms of gold cutting machine tools, China's output last year was 230,000 units, of which only 24,000 CNC machine tools were used, only 1/10 of the output. High-end CNC machine tools and supporting components can only be further pointed out by imported Luo Baihui. China's development of the machine tool industry has a unique market space. Especially in the next few years, the automobile, information and high-tech industries will develop strongly in China, and the development of China's machine tool industry will usher in “Sunny Dayâ€. The electromechanical and equipment industries represented by the automobile industry have put forward higher requirements for the machine tool industry. According to the statistics of the three major autos and nine backbone factories, the investment in technological transformation was 26.1 billion yuan this year, and the technical transformation of auto parts and components was nearly 7.3 billion yuan, of which 4.2 billion yuan was related to the machine tool industry. The information industry is China's fastest-growing leading industry and will certainly provide strong support for the development of China's machine tool industry. The high-tech industry characterized by new materials, new energy, automation, etc. will also become a new bright spot in China's economic development. Its development requires a large number of high-precision, composite, intelligent, multi-axis control, and automated high-end machine tools. The demand for machine tools caused by many key projects in the country is also considerable. The pace of technological transformation in traditional industries is accelerating, and the requirements for manufacturing equipment level and numerical control degree are getting higher and higher. Aviation industry, aerospace and other military industries, in order to accelerate the development of new products and mass production capacity, every year there is a large-scale technological transformation investment, the need to purchase a large number of machine tools... Six downstream industries support CNC machine tools as a classification of equipment manufacturing, machine tool industry In particular, the development of CNC machine tools will be strongly supported by downstream demand. According to the special plan of “high-grade CNC machine tools and basic manufacturing equipmentâ€, by 2020, about 80% of high-end CNC machine tools and basic manufacturing equipment required for aerospace, shipbuilding, automobile and power generation equipment manufacturing will be based on domestic and future development of China's machine tool industry. Very broad. Luo Baihui, secretary-general of the International Association of Mould & Hardware Plastics Industry Suppliers, said that the downstream industries of China's machine tool industry include aviation, aerospace, shipbuilding, electric power, energy, automobiles, rail transit, high-speed railway, and national defense military during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. Even for a longer period of time, large-scale and deep-level structural adjustments will be carried out, which will bring huge business opportunities to the machine tool industry. 1. Automotive Industry Automotive (including parts) industry has always been the largest user industry for machine tools. During the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†period, the average annual growth rate of automobile production and sales exceeded 20%. In 2010, the number of cars produced and sold reached 18.26 million and 18.061 million, an increase of 32.44% and 32.37% respectively over the previous year. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, due to the constraints of energy, environment and transportation factors and the high base deceleration effect, the growth rate of automobile production and sales will be slower than during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†period. However, from the per capita car ownership in China (the number of Chinese car ownership in 2010 is 48, the world average is 140) and the per capita GDP growth, the Chinese auto market, especially the second and third-tier markets and the rural market are still There is a large room for development. It is reported that in the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†of the automobile industry, the annual production of automobiles in 2015 is planned to be 25 million units. Dong Yang, head of the Automobile Industry Association, predicts 30 million units, and the total capacity of major automobile companies in 2015 is more than 30 million units. This undoubtedly provides a big market for machine tools. Therefore, 2011 is the first time to stimulate the delisting of automobile consumption policies (the small-displacement passenger car purchase tax concessions were cancelled at the beginning of the year), and the increase in the number of small passenger cars in some large cities will inevitably affect the people's car buying psychology. Therefore, it is estimated that the automobile market will cool down this year, but it is still possible to maintain a growth rate of not less than 10%. The machine tools required by the automotive industry should first be efficient and highly reliable, but also have sufficient precision and precision stability, but also have moderate flexibility, so not only need a large number of general-purpose CNC machine tools, but also a lot of CNC and Non-CNC dedicated machine tools (such as combination machine tools, etc.). 2. Rail transit industry China's railway construction and transformation with emphasis on high speed, speed increase and heavy load has entered the “fast lane†of development. In the five years from 2010, a large-scale investment of about 700 billion yuan will be maintained every year, which will bring huge business opportunities to the machine tool industry. At the same time, by 2015, China will build 79 urban rail transit lines in 22 cities with a total investment of 882 billion yuan, which also provides a market for machine tool products. The demand for machine tools in the rail transit industry is multifaceted. One is locomotives (electric locomotives and electric drive diesel locomotives) and vehicle manufacturing. The second is the routine maintenance of the wheel and axle manufacturing machines, as well as rail processing and high-speed rail sleeper processing. These above-mentioned processing and manufacturing are in urgent need of general-purpose CNC gold-cutting machine tools, such as machining centers and CNC vertical vehicles. Special CNC cutting machines are also needed, such as track plate grinders and axle grinders. There is also a need for forming machines such as presses and bending machines. Obviously, the rail transit industry has become a very important emerging customer base in the Chinese machine tool market today. 3. Shipbuilding industry China's shipbuilding industry has a relatively good production situation in 2010 (from January to November, the national shipbuilding completion volume was 56.76 million DWT, an increase of 55.4% year-on-year; the new ship receiving order volume was 63.98 million DWT, which was 2.8 times that of the same period last year) At present, China's hand-held ship orders are still sufficient (as of the end of November last year, it was 1.9936 million DWT), so the production situation of China's shipbuilding industry will still be better in 2011. However, the recovery of the international shipbuilding market is weak, the ship price decline trend is obvious, and the structure of China's ship production capacity is unbalanced (low-end ordinary ship type overcapacity, high-end capacity is insufficient). In the context of increased pressure on RMB appreciation, China Ships in 2011 The operational risks facing the industry cannot be ignored. As an important customer of machine tools, the ship supporting equipment (low- and low-speed diesel engines, crankshafts, propellers, deck machinery, etc.) has made great progress during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†period, and many projects have been built and expanded. However, the funds for these projects have been basically in place, and the ordering of heavy-duty (including super-heavy) machine tools for key processing equipment has been basically completed. Obviously, the order of heavy-duty machine tools will be significantly reduced in the ship supporting equipment industry in 2011, and there will still be new demand for other types of machine tools.
4. Wind power and nuclear power equipment manufacturing New energy has become the top priority of China's energy strategy. This paper focuses on wind power and nuclear power equipment that are closely related to machine tools. Wind power has developed rapidly. In the six years from 2004 to 2009, the annual growth rate of wind power installed capacity exceeded 100%. It is estimated that the installed capacity will reach 35 million kilowatts by the end of 2010 and 100 million kilowatts by 2020. Now megawatt wind turbines in China have been mass-produced, with a maximum of 3MW. However, China's wind power equipment manufacturing industry is still in its infancy, except for a few strong companies, most of which only assemble the whole machine through technology transfer. On the one hand, there is a low-end overcapacity, and the entire industry needs to improve its technical capabilities and equipment level. Naturally, it needs to purchase advanced machine tools, especially large-scale CNC general-purpose and special-purpose machine tools. Nuclear power is a clean energy source that countries are competing to develop. In 2010, China's nuclear power installed capacity was 10.8 million kilowatts, and 23 nuclear power units were under construction, accounting for 40% of the world's units under construction. Originally planned to achieve 40 million kilowatts of nuclear power installed in China in 2020, but in order to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and consider the reality, the upcoming medium- and long-term nuclear power planning is expected to adjust this indicator to more than 70 million kilowatts. During the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, it will become the peak period of China's nuclear power construction. The annual investment in nuclear power construction will exceed 70 billion yuan, and nuclear power equipment will account for about 5% to 6% of the total investment in nuclear power projects. Therefore, nuclear power equipment manufacturers will also have demand for high-end CNC machine tools. 5, aviation manufacturing China's aviation industry is rising, in addition to the military aircraft series has made great progress, the eye-catching C919 large passenger aircraft has signed 100 start orders, the first flight in 2014. The ARJ21 new regional passenger aircraft in the test flight forensics stage has accumulated 340 orders, and the development capabilities of other helicopters and general aircraft have also been significantly enhanced. In the aerospace industry, China is accelerating the upgrading of satellite technology and product replacement and the development of large-thrust rockets. Manned space flight, lunar exploration project and Beidou navigation system have achieved significant phase results. In 2011, the aerospace industry will have new demands for CNC machine tools, especially high-speed, high-efficiency, high-precision, multi-axis, high-end CNC machine tools, which may include automatic tape laying machines and automatic wire laying machines for manufacturing composite components. .
6. Machinery Industry The machinery industry mentioned here refers to the 12 major industries (in which the automotive industry has been studied separately), which are the basic user industries of machine tools. In 2010, China's machinery industry has a good production and operation environment. The annual sales value exceeded 13 trillion yuan, an increase of more than 30% over the previous year. The increase in import and export volume was also 30%, and the increase in profits may exceed 45%. In 2011, the production and sales of the machinery industry will maintain a good growth momentum. Although the growth rate will fall back, it is expected to be above 15%. The increase in fixed asset investment will also be higher than the national level, and a considerable part of the investment is in the purchase of production equipment such as machine tools. Large and medium-sized enterprises and some foreign-invested enterprises will focus on high-end CNC machine tools, while small and medium-sized enterprises, especially private SMEs, mostly purchase medium and low-end CNC machine tools. There is also a large demand for ordinary machine tools and non-CNC special and specialized machine tools. . In the future, low-end and mid-range machine tools will also account for a large proportion. Big and strong features are imminent The "cake" is really tempting, but it is not easy to enjoy it. With the development and production capacity of China's current high-end CNC machine tools and complete sets of line equipment, it is still unable to adapt to market needs in terms of variety, quality and quantity. For the automotive industry and the aerospace industry, the high-end CNC machine tools that are urgently needed are: high-speed machining centers, multi-axis machining centers, twin-spindle turning centers and turning centers, precision grinding machines and compound grinding machines, precision electric machining machines, precision Large-scale boring and milling machines, precision floor boring and milling machines, high-efficiency CNC special machines, etc., and these equipment domestic enterprises are still not well satisfied, and the industrialization level needs to be improved. Luo Baihui believes that it is imperative to improve the level of China's machine tools as a whole. At present, it is necessary to pay special attention to the need to improve the international cooperation and improve the supply level of high-end CNC machine tools and complete sets on the basis of improving the independent development of CNC machine tools as soon as possible. The numerical control technology is integrated and optimized by computer software, hardware technology, network technology and precision measurement technology. At present, CNC technology is developing in the direction of high speed, compound, intelligent, precise and environmental protection. Yu Chengting believes that it is only a good opportunity to transfer the latest and most advanced technology and equipment by other countries. At present, we must quickly improve the independent development and manufacturing capabilities of CNC machine tools. To this end, it is necessary to establish an effective CNC technology development center, strengthen research and testing of key processes, and form a complete set of development capabilities; at the same time, through cooperative production and joint ventures, achieve high starting point, batch volume and specialization of mainstream product production. To improve the quality of machine tools, it is necessary to establish a new development model for machine tool enterprises. Luo Baihui believes that machine tool enterprises should “shrink the front lineâ€, refine the main business, and master the core technologies of key components and key processes. General parts processing can fully implement international procurement. At the same time, it is necessary to strengthen the strategic alliance of enterprise development. In order to get the latest technology more quickly, enterprises can directly "marriage" with domestic and foreign research institutes. Relative to the CNC machine tool host, the development of China's functional component manufacturers is even more lagging. However, the functional components not only determine the overall performance of the machine tool, but also account for about 60% of the cost of the whole machine. The development status is directly related to the competitiveness of the machine tool. At present, China's functional component manufacturing enterprises are generally small in scale, scattered in layout, and some are also attached to OEMs or research institutes. It is extremely urgent to straighten out the system of functional component manufacturing enterprises and to enlarge and strengthen a number of functional component manufacturing enterprises.
4. Wind power and nuclear power equipment manufacturing New energy has become the top priority of China's energy strategy. This paper focuses on wind power and nuclear power equipment that are closely related to machine tools. Wind power has developed rapidly. In the six years from 2004 to 2009, the annual growth rate of wind power installed capacity exceeded 100%. It is estimated that the installed capacity will reach 35 million kilowatts by the end of 2010 and 100 million kilowatts by 2020. Now megawatt wind turbines in China have been mass-produced, with a maximum of 3MW. However, China's wind power equipment manufacturing industry is still in its infancy, except for a few strong companies, most of which only assemble the whole machine through technology transfer. On the one hand, there is a low-end overcapacity, and the entire industry needs to improve its technical capabilities and equipment level. Naturally, it needs to purchase advanced machine tools, especially large-scale CNC general-purpose and special-purpose machine tools. Nuclear power is a clean energy source that countries are competing to develop. In 2010, China's nuclear power installed capacity was 10.8 million kilowatts, and 23 nuclear power units were under construction, accounting for 40% of the world's units under construction. Originally planned to achieve 40 million kilowatts of nuclear power installed in China in 2020, but in order to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and consider the reality, the upcoming medium- and long-term nuclear power planning is expected to adjust this indicator to more than 70 million kilowatts. During the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, it will become the peak period of China's nuclear power construction. The annual investment in nuclear power construction will exceed 70 billion yuan, and nuclear power equipment will account for about 5% to 6% of the total investment in nuclear power projects. Therefore, nuclear power equipment manufacturers will also have demand for high-end CNC machine tools. 5, aviation manufacturing China's aviation industry is rising, in addition to the military aircraft series has made great progress, the eye-catching C919 large passenger aircraft has signed 100 start orders, the first flight in 2014. The ARJ21 new regional passenger aircraft in the test flight forensics stage has accumulated 340 orders, and the development capabilities of other helicopters and general aircraft have also been significantly enhanced. In the aerospace industry, China is accelerating the upgrading of satellite technology and product replacement and the development of large-thrust rockets. Manned space flight, lunar exploration project and Beidou navigation system have achieved significant phase results. In 2011, the aerospace industry will have new demands for CNC machine tools, especially high-speed, high-efficiency, high-precision, multi-axis, high-end CNC machine tools, which may include automatic tape laying machines and automatic wire laying machines for manufacturing composite components. .
6. Machinery Industry The machinery industry mentioned here refers to the 12 major industries (in which the automotive industry has been studied separately), which are the basic user industries of machine tools. In 2010, China's machinery industry has a good production and operation environment. The annual sales value exceeded 13 trillion yuan, an increase of more than 30% over the previous year. The increase in import and export volume was also 30%, and the increase in profits may exceed 45%. In 2011, the production and sales of the machinery industry will maintain a good growth momentum. Although the growth rate will fall back, it is expected to be above 15%. The increase in fixed asset investment will also be higher than the national level, and a considerable part of the investment is in the purchase of production equipment such as machine tools. Large and medium-sized enterprises and some foreign-invested enterprises will focus on high-end CNC machine tools, while small and medium-sized enterprises, especially private SMEs, mostly purchase medium and low-end CNC machine tools. There is also a large demand for ordinary machine tools and non-CNC special and specialized machine tools. . In the future, low-end and mid-range machine tools will also account for a large proportion. Big and strong features are imminent The "cake" is really tempting, but it is not easy to enjoy it. With the development and production capacity of China's current high-end CNC machine tools and complete sets of line equipment, it is still unable to adapt to market needs in terms of variety, quality and quantity. For the automotive industry and the aerospace industry, the high-end CNC machine tools that are urgently needed are: high-speed machining centers, multi-axis machining centers, twin-spindle turning centers and turning centers, precision grinding machines and compound grinding machines, precision electric machining machines, precision Large-scale boring and milling machines, precision floor boring and milling machines, high-efficiency CNC special machines, etc., and these equipment domestic enterprises are still not well satisfied, and the industrialization level needs to be improved. Luo Baihui believes that it is imperative to improve the level of China's machine tools as a whole. At present, it is necessary to pay special attention to the need to improve the international cooperation and improve the supply level of high-end CNC machine tools and complete sets on the basis of improving the independent development of CNC machine tools as soon as possible. The numerical control technology is integrated and optimized by computer software, hardware technology, network technology and precision measurement technology. At present, CNC technology is developing in the direction of high speed, compound, intelligent, precise and environmental protection. Yu Chengting believes that it is only a good opportunity to transfer the latest and most advanced technology and equipment by other countries. At present, we must quickly improve the independent development and manufacturing capabilities of CNC machine tools. To this end, it is necessary to establish an effective CNC technology development center, strengthen research and testing of key processes, and form a complete set of development capabilities; at the same time, through cooperative production and joint ventures, achieve high starting point, batch volume and specialization of mainstream product production. To improve the quality of machine tools, it is necessary to establish a new development model for machine tool enterprises. Luo Baihui believes that machine tool enterprises should “shrink the front lineâ€, refine the main business, and master the core technologies of key components and key processes. General parts processing can fully implement international procurement. At the same time, it is necessary to strengthen the strategic alliance of enterprise development. In order to get the latest technology more quickly, enterprises can directly "marriage" with domestic and foreign research institutes. Relative to the CNC machine tool host, the development of China's functional component manufacturers is even more lagging. However, the functional components not only determine the overall performance of the machine tool, but also account for about 60% of the cost of the whole machine. The development status is directly related to the competitiveness of the machine tool. At present, China's functional component manufacturing enterprises are generally small in scale, scattered in layout, and some are also attached to OEMs or research institutes. It is extremely urgent to straighten out the system of functional component manufacturing enterprises and to enlarge and strengthen a number of functional component manufacturing enterprises.
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